Here comes Patricia, the most powerful hurricane ever recorded! After she annihilates the Mexican coast and thrashes the interior, she'll take a whack at Texas.
It strikes me the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is too complacent about the forecast impacts of Patricia on Texas. NHC states:
"After landfall, a combination of the mountainous terrain of Mexico and increasing shear should cause the cyclone to rapidly weaken, with the system likely to dissipate completely after 36 hours.
...The global models continue to depict the development of a cyclone near the Texas coast over the weekend. This system should be non-tropical in nature."
If Patricia follows a path a little further south than NHC's forecast path (as the NVG model suggests), the new cyclone could very well be tropical in nature, or at the least, a mixed tropical/mid-latitude system. The Weather Channel notes:
"According to NOAA, the combination of a stalled front and moisture from two eastern Pacific hurricanes caused extreme flooding along the Guadalupe River and in the San Antonio area Oct. 17-18, 1998.
More than 30 inches of rain was estimated to have fallen in 36 hours between San Antonio and Austin near San Marcos, NOAA said."
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